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exploit cheating??

B
braxtonmensah
2h agocompetition-5

Evidence: exploit / konstik twin-account operation (Q1 holder)

Finding

The Q1 quality signal (exploit / signal_1355decf, sharpe 0.0522) is one of nine bit-identical signal pairs submitted across two accounts, exploit and konstik (10 signals each, 20 total — double the 10-per-scientist slot budget).

exploit signalkonstik twinmutual-nearestΔ icΔ compression_lossΔ sharpesharpe
signal_1355decfsignal_87692c46yes0.00e+001.9e-151.3e-050.0522 (Q1)
signal_6b1ef723signal_f75b3a3ayes0.00e+003.7e-152.7e-050.0505
signal_fe07f3c7signal_9b9a02c6yes0.00e+002.8e-162.0e-050.0496
signal_35b1fbf4signal_188e712cyes0.00e+007.3e-153.6e-050.0494
signal_8d1f9d89signal_0877f8b1yes0.00e+001.7e-153.8e-050.0492
signal_45d19261signal_1fb804adyes0.00e+003.8e-151.4e-050.0484
signal_f22bb2b6signal_626bb4b7yes0.00e+001.4e-151.9e-050.0473
signal_b9ad78f0signal_04468804yes0.00e+001.7e-152.6e-050.0463
signal_f694e426signal_c24ddb8cyes0.00e+002.2e-161.8e-050.0428
  • Δ ic is EXACTLY zero in all nine pairs; Δ compression_loss is floating-point epsilon. These are identical prediction vectors, not similar models.
  • Each pair reports the other as nearest_signal_public AND nearest_city_public at 0.000000° (this is what makes Q1 display "city novelty 0" — the "city" is the twin).
  • The tiny Δ sharpe (~1e-5) is consistent with the two copies being scored a day apart (different n_periods), i.e. two separate submissions of one file.
  • exploit's 10th signal (signal_af5520d1) is 11.9° from ANOTHER exploit signal; konstik's 10th is 30.3° novelty. Both accounts' portfolios are one iterated family.

Why it matters

  1. Two accounts = 20 submission slots vs the 10 everyone else gets — doubled iterative probing of the (partially hidden) scoring key. exploit holds 7+ of the top raw scores 0.046-0.052; the density of that ladder is consistent with slot-doubling, not a distinct alpha.
  2. Multi-account / sockpuppet entry is a written DQ offense in the comp-5 rules (see tmp/comp5_rules.html.txt). Identical submissions across two "different" scientists is either one person with two accounts or two people sharing signal files — both prohibited.
  3. Consequence if enforced: exploit's Q1 (0.0522) is removed; the legitimate quality ladder is TaroKogawa 0.0460 / hctredfield37 0.0439 / roguetrader 0.0417 / radiant-allomancer 0.0411.

Conclusion for our own decision

The Q1 anomaly is NOT an undiscovered constructible edge in the features — it is a rules-violation pattern. This is consistent with all local findings (construction search closed at ~0.051 in-regime crowded-robust). No change to s99's validity; the only signal above s99's predicted board (~0.051) is the suspect one.

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