AlphaNova
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Fading the ML signal

Nonius's avatarNonius
3mo ago

just wondering for those of you who trade systematically, under what conditions would you flip the sign of your signal?

2 Replies

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artisticblossom2mo ago

hmmm. I’d only flip the sign if i had strong evidence the underlying relationship had structurally inverted, not just because of a drawdown.

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rudiyantoamdkom2mo ago

In the AlphaNova competition, which uses walk-forward evaluation, your XGBoost model must be trained to recognize stable cross-sectional patterns. Reactively flipping signs will only damage your long-term Sharpe ratio metrics on hidden test data.

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Fading the ML signal | AlphaNova Discussions